- The Royals (56-82) are -135 favorites vs the Tigers (52-85)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz (0-1), 8.10 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-9), 4.81 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 50-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-69 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 60 of his last 94 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Drew Waters | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Drew Waters | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Drew Waters | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 37 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 48% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 45 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 60-74 against the Run Line (-24.6 Units / -14.6% ROI).
- 50-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 51-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.45 Units / -19.15% ROI
- 73-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 11.8% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-69 against the Run Line (-16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 67-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 64-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.97% ROI
Joseph Wentz: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has limited playing time.
Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .313 (425 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (43/125) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .336 (46 GB hits out of 137 GBs) against Daniel Lynch this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (19/49) against Daniel Lynch on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 6-60 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Tigers are 9-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Tigers are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Tigers are just 13-39 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Royals are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 3-65 (.044) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 56-70 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .596 (3,628 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,628 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,859 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .983 (2,130 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters are slugging just .365 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .440.
Royals hitters are averaging just 3.80 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Royals hitters have just 593 strikeouts in 3,019 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Tigers pitchers this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 110 of 1,200 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (244/138) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Royals pitchers have walked 511 of 5,344 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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