Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Royals (56-82) are -135 favorites vs the Tigers (52-85)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz (0-1), 8.10 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-9), 4.81 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 50-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-69 ATS.

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+110
Royals -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-135

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 60 of his last 94 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Drew Waters 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
MJ Melendez 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Drew Waters 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
MJ Melendez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Drew Waters 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
MJ Melendez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Daniel Lynch 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 37 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 45 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 60-74 against the Run Line (-24.6 Units / -14.6% ROI).

  • 50-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
  • 51-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.45 Units / -19.15% ROI
  • 73-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 11.8% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-69 against the Run Line (-16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI).

  • 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
  • 67-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.1% ROI
  • 64-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.97% ROI

Joey Wentz has limited playing time.

Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .313 (425 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (43/125) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .336 (46 GB hits out of 137 GBs) against Daniel Lynch this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (19/49) against Daniel Lynch on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 6-60 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The Tigers are 9-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Tigers are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Tigers are just 13-39 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Royals are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 3-65 (.044) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Royals are just 56-70 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .596 (3,628 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,628 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,859 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .983 (2,130 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters are slugging just .365 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .440.

Royals hitters are averaging just 3.80 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Royals hitters have just 593 strikeouts in 3,019 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Tigers pitchers this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 110 of 1,200 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Royals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (244/138) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Royals pitchers have walked 511 of 5,344 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.