• The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Twins
• Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Tigers / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | DSN | ESUN

The Detroit Tigers (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+115) on April 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Tigers are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-5 ATS.

Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 7.57 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Mick Abel 0-2, 11.05 ERA

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+7.50 Units / 188% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 68% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 71% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 49% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 34% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 4-8 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -32.29% ROI).

• 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -38.24% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 3.02% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -12.55% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-5 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 3.2% ROI).

• 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 9.52% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -12.78% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 3.82% ROI

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Tigers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .030.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .928 (115 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .263 against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging .433 against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters had an OBP of just .295 (704 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have 7 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .276 against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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