- The Twins are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Watch the game on BSN
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Tuesday, August 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 53-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 56-64 ATS.
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -105 | +155 |
| Twins | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -115 | -190 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 75.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Zack Short has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 23 games at home (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.40 Units / 117% ROI)
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
| Alex Faedo | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 56 away games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 56 away games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+5.04 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 88 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+3.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 61-57 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.68% ROI).
- 53-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -8.71% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -7.09% ROI).
- 62-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -7.25% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -6.17% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -2.26% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to May 25th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Alex Faedo has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 5 opportunities (60%) over the last 30 days (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (5-for-35) against Alex Faedo over the last 30 days (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Alex Faedo’s pitches (66/178) over the last 30 days (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has elevated his fastball 77% of the time (925/1,209) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (609/790) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% (47/166) against Bailey Ober on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (925/1,209) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 30-44 (.405) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Tigers are just 9-21 (.300) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Tigers are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 18-114 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 118-3 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (7,726 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .348 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .634 (7,726 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 937 strikeouts in 3,402 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .228 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins hitters have 1,227 strikeouts in 4,552 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 338 of 4,452 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have walked 71 of 1,073 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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