- The – are favorites vs the –
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Twins starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda
- Watch the game on BSN
The Detroit Tigers () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, August 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 53-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 57-64 ATS.
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 77.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 23 games at home (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Matt Vierling | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Reese Olson | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 57 away games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 57 away games (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.04 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -4.52% ROI).
- 53-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -7.86% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 57-64 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -6.3% ROI).
- 63-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -6.58% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -7.02% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.49% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting just .173 (14-for-81) against Reese Olson this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Reese Olson — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .225 — 94th Percentile.
Reese Olson has pitched 10.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 19.1.
Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of just .275 (251 PA’s) this season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 91st Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (20/75) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 19th — Luis Severino has the longest active streak at 8.
Kenta Maeda has a strikeout rate of 29% (76 SO in 264 PAs) this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .383 (23 GB hits out of 60 GBs) against Kenta Maeda this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 18-115 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 30-44 (.405) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Tigers are 21-6 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Tigers are just 8-15 (.348) after a road win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Twins are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 15-90 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Twins are just 20-53 (.274) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .358.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .635 (7,757 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (7,757 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .349 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 945 strikeouts in 3,433 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .227 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins hitters have been successful in 100% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Twins hitters are slugging .707 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 342 of 4,487 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (312.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 327 of 4,481 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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