- The Twins (54-48) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (41-63)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (0-0), 2.25 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-5), 4.04 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 41-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 47-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | O 9 -110 | +155 |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | U 9 -110 | -190 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 36 games at home (+16.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 69% ROI)
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Carlos Correa | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gio Urshela | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Archer | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 101 games (+18.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 away games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (+3.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+7.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 85 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 90 games (+5.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 70 games (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-57 against the Run Line (-18.5 Units / -14.05% ROI).
- 41-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -9.17% ROI
- 38-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.1 Units / -22.8% ROI
- 59-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.8 Units / 15.49% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-55 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -8.28% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.29% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -7.83% ROI
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning had a strikeout rate of just 15% (57/385) last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Matt Manning had a strikeout rate of just 8% (6/78) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 16% — seventh Percentile.
Matt Manning allowed an OBP of .364 (206 PA’s) against right-handed batters last season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .306 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted .301 (22-for-73) against Matt Manning’s elevated fastballs last season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .218 — eighth Percentile.
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (44/101) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 54% of the time (173/322) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Chris Archer has walked 37 of 299 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (119/267) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are just 17-36 (.321) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Tigers are just 5-53 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-21 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Twins are just 6-34 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Twins are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,905 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .587 (2,790 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .535 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Twins hitters are slugging .613 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Twins hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters are slugging .486 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Rib, Day-to-Day
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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