Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (54-48) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (41-63)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (0-0), 2.25 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-5), 4.04 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 41-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 47-55 ATS.

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -120O 9 -110+155
Twins -1.5 +100U 9 -110-190

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 36 games at home (+16.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 69% ROI)

Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Carlos Correa 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
Gio Urshela 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Carlos Correa 1.5 +140 1.5 -200
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Gio Urshela 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Carlos Correa 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Gio Urshela 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +115 0.5 -165

Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Archer 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
Matt Manning 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 101 games (+18.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 away games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (+3.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+7.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 85 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 90 games (+5.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 70 games (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-57 against the Run Line (-18.5 Units / -14.05% ROI).

  • 41-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -9.17% ROI
  • 38-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.1 Units / -22.8% ROI
  • 59-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.8 Units / 15.49% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-55 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -8.28% ROI).

  • 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.29% ROI
  • 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.4% ROI
  • 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -7.83% ROI

Matt Manning had a strikeout rate of just 15% (57/385) last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Matt Manning had a strikeout rate of just 8% (6/78) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 16% — seventh Percentile.

Matt Manning allowed an OBP of .364 (206 PA’s) against right-handed batters last season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .306 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents batted .301 (22-for-73) against Matt Manning’s elevated fastballs last season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .218 — eighth Percentile.

Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (44/101) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown his slider 54% of the time (173/322) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.

Chris Archer has walked 37 of 299 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (119/267) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Tigers are just 17-36 (.321) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Tigers are just 5-53 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-21 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Twins are just 6-34 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Twins are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,905 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .587 (2,790 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Twins hitters are slugging .535 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Twins hitters are slugging .613 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Twins hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging .486 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Rib, Day-to-Day
  • Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, D10
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.