Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (70-33) are favorites vs the (70-33)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (2-4), 4.09 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (7-4), 3.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Detroit Tigers () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 42-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 47-56 ATS.

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers O
Twins U

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 37 games at home (+15.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)

Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gio Urshela 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jake Cave 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Jose Miranda 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Gio Urshela 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Jake Cave 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jorge Polanco 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Jose Miranda 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Gio Urshela 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Jake Cave 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Jose Miranda 0.5 +100 0.5 -145

Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joe Ryan 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
Tyler Alexander 2.5 -185 2.5 +125
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 102 games (+19.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 66 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+8.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 86 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 91 games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 71 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 48-57 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -13.16% ROI).

  • 42-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -7.7% ROI
  • 38-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.3 Units / -23.61% ROI
  • 60-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.8 Units / 16.22% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-56 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -9.01% ROI).

  • 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.94% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.66% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -6.89% ROI

Tyler Alexander has struck out just 12% (13/106) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 12% (19 SO in 158 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (52/293) against Tyler Alexander this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .396 against Tyler Alexander this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (17/141) against Joe Ryan with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 71 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (72/242) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (29/92) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Tigers are just 18-36 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Tigers are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Twins are 48-14 (.774) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Twins are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,824 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .598 (1,186 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .581 (1,942 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .335 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .748 (2,807 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Twins hitters are slugging .534 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Twins hitters are slugging .612 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .773 (1,337 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have walked 8 of 52 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Rib, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, D10
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.