- The – (70-33) are favorites vs the – (70-33)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (2-4), 4.09 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (7-4), 3.78 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 42-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 47-56 ATS.
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 37 games at home (+15.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jorge Polanco | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jose Miranda | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
| Tyler Alexander | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 102 games (+19.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 66 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+8.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 86 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 91 games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 71 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 48-57 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -13.16% ROI).
- 42-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 38-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.3 Units / -23.61% ROI
- 60-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.8 Units / 16.22% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-56 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -9.01% ROI).
- 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -6.89% ROI
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Alexander has struck out just 12% (13/106) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 12% (19 SO in 158 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (52/293) against Tyler Alexander this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .396 against Tyler Alexander this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (17/141) against Joe Ryan with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 71 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (72/242) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (29/92) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Tigers are just 18-36 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Tigers are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Twins are 48-14 (.774) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Twins are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,824 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .598 (1,186 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .581 (1,942 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .335 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .748 (2,807 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Twins hitters are slugging .534 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Twins hitters are slugging .612 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .773 (1,337 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 8 of 52 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Rib, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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