- The Twins are + favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Twins starting pitcher: José De León
- Watch the game on BSN
The Detroit Tigers (+) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+) on Saturday, June 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 29-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 35-35 ATS.
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | + + | O + | + |
| Twins | + + | U + | + |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 77.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 57 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 36-32 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.47% ROI).
- 29-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.29% ROI
- 37-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 4.93% ROI
- 30-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -13.44% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 35-35 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.61% ROI).
- 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -10.5% ROI
- 30-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -13.84% ROI
- 37-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 5.93% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .550 (11-for-20) against Joey Wentz on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .275 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 82% (14/17) against Joey Wentz on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 52% — second Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .850 (17 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .429 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .260 (33-for-127) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .175 — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (3/16) against Jose De Leon with two-strikes — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.
Jose De Leon has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (17/22) — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (7/38) against Jose De Leon over the last 14 days (4 games) — 6th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — fifth Percentile.
Jose De Leon has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (17/22) over the last 14 days (4 games) — tied for 7th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 94th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 15-95 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 24-39 (.381) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Tigers are just 95-135 (.413) since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 50-84 (.373) after a loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 7-22 (.241) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 14-3 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Twins are just 14-29 (.326) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,424 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .622 (6,424 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .351 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .338 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .142 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters have been successful in 150% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .232 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Twins hitters have 717 strikeouts in 2,649 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 194 of 2,558 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have walked 199 of 2,592 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
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