Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
  • The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Tigers vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Tigers / White Sox TV Channel: FDDT | CHSN

The Detroit Tigers (-145) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+118) on Monday, August 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.

This season, the Tigers are 68-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 67-51 ATS.

Tigers vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 4-10, 4.91 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Elvis Peguero 0-0, 4.91 ERA

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +115O 8.5 +100-145
White Sox +1.5 -140U 8.5 -120+118

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+19.15 Units / 191% ROI)
  • Chris Paddack has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+24.90 Units / 311% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Mike Tauchman has hit the Walks Over in his last 4 games (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 119 games (+19.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 91 games (+13.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 68 of their last 119 games (+10.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 61 of their last 118 games (+5.85 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 116 games (+5.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+15.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 94 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 94 games (+10.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 59-60 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -4.01% ROI).

  • 68-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.41% ROI
  • 62-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.95% ROI
  • 51-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -12.98% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 67-51 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 4.95% ROI).

  • 43-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.36 Units / -10.43% ROI
  • 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -3.67% ROI

White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -625
Colson Montgomery (CWS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625

White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Dillon Dingler (DET) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Gleyber Torres (DET) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Paddack (DET) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Elvis Peguero (CWS) 1.5 +175 1.5 -235

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (48/138) against Chris Paddack when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .281 (65-for-231) against Chris Paddack this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 10th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of .950 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .708 — fifth Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .609 (103 Total Bases / 169 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .424 — third Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are 57-14 (.803) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Tigers are 40-4 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .745.

The Tigers are 49-7 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Tigers are 79-8 (.908) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are just 81-166 (.328) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The White Sox are just 68-32 (.680) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 10-75 (.118) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

team hitters – away

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 30% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .636 (7,553 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Batters facing the Tigers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 38% of the time over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Batters facing the Tigers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 34% of the time over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 6% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

More MLB Reading:


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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.