- The White Sox (58-56) are -200 favorites vs the Tigers (43-72)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (2-6), 3.83 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (2-5), 5.88 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-200) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 43-72 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 50-64 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -115 | +165 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -105 | -200 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 48 of his last 71 games (+22.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 73 games (+18.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -130 |
| Tyler Alexander | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 112 games (+22.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 33 away games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 114 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 47 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.80 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 51-64 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -15.33% ROI).
- 43-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -12.7% ROI
- 40-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -24.33% ROI
- 65-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.55 Units / 16.96% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 50-64 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 58-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -5.84% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.35% ROI
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .370 (40-for-108) against Tyler Alexander’s inside fastball since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .370 (40-for-108) against Tyler Alexander on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has struck out just 3% (1/29) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (17/100) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (49/285) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (28 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .431 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .380 (19-for-50) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .261 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .469 (15-for-32) against Lance Lynn on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are just 4-51 (.073) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are 5-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Tigers are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Tigers are just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The White Sox are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 18-4 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .582 (3,087 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,318 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (3,087 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .574 (2,044 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .369 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
White Sox hitters have 229 extra-base hits out of 805 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 195 walks in 3,433 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 46 walks in 1,022 PA’s (4%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 92 of 1,006 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against White Sox pitchers this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Head, Day-to-Day
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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