Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The White Sox (39-42) are -175 favorites vs the Tigers (35-47)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-7), 4.06 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (5-4), 4.89 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-175) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 35-47 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-44 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+145
White Sox -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-175

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.65 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+6.20 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 41 games at home (+20.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)

White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jose Abreu 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Josh Harrison 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Josh Harrison 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jose Abreu 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Josh Harrison 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lucas Giolito 6.5 -120 6.5 -115
Tarik Skubal 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+19.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 40-42 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -5.8% ROI).

  • 35-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -4.29% ROI
  • 28-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.45 Units / -28.22% ROI
  • 49-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.6 Units / 20.51% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-44 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -8.73% ROI).

  • 39-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -10.03% ROI
  • 39-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • 38-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -5.12% ROI

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (40 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .423 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .383 (23-for-60) against Tarik Skubal on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .127 (8-for-63) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (120/255) against Tarik Skubal on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .628 (108 Total Bases / 172 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 0 Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of 1.013 (195 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .708 — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (91/241) against Lucas Giolito this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (49 Total Bases / 70 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .433 — third Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are just 2-34 (.056) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Tigers are 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Tigers are 12-5 (.706) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .669.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are 6-1 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 74-13 (.851) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The White Sox are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .628 (2,933 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .339 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (2,167 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Tigers hitters have 183 extra-base hits out of 598 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .422 (246 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .156 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

White Sox hitters have drawn 150 walks in 2,476 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH this season (2,039 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (2,039 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Tigers pitchers have walked 64 of 721 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 306 of 3,140 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.