- The White Sox are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-155) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 26-29 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 30-29 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
White Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -155 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.65 Units / 105% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 11 games (+11.05 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Zack Short | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tim Anderson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Zack Short | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Tim Anderson | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Zack Short | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Tim Anderson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dylan Cease | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -135 |
Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 44 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 29-26 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.44% ROI).
- 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 12.3% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 2.45% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -10.46% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 30-29 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -2.86% ROI).
- 24-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -19.2% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 1.31% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -8.82% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .095 (2-for-21) against Michael Lorenzen on low fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 99th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed an OPS of just .221 (23 PA’s) — 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .631 — 97th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .241 (27 Total Bases / 112 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (22/143) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (46/73) against Dylan Cease against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 16 of 127 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Dylan Cease has a strike rate of just 60% (231/387) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,088/2,108) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Tigers are just 5-7 (.417) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are 12-3 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Tigers are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 1-9 (.100) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The White Sox are just 6-17 (.261) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The White Sox are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The White Sox are just 10-83 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .619 (5,981 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .604 (2,484 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .335 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .325 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 133 extra-base hits out of 422 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (1,126 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have drawn 382 walks in 6,493 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 145 walks in 2,199 PA’s (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 152 of 2,076 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 172 of 1,918 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 524 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 234 of 2,288 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 58 of 486 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, D10
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