- The White Sox are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-175) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 26-30 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 30-30 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 76.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 88% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Clint Frazier | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luis Robert | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -185 |
| Clint Frazier | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Luis Robert | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Clint Frazier | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luis Robert | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
| Matthew Boyd | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.64% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -8.63% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 30-30 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -4.11% ROI).
- 25-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -17.37% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.16% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.048 (22 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .597 — first Percentile.
Matthew Boyd walked 4 of 20 right-handed batters (20%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (19/58) against Matthew Boyd in two-strike counts this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of just .220 (11 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 94th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting just .063 (4-for-63) against Michael Kopech this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 58% (152/262) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has a strikeout rate of 70% (19 SO in 27 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has struck out 31% (38/122) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Tigers are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are just 5-7 (.417) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Tigers are 19-2 (.905) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 1-9 (.100) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The White Sox are just 7-17 (.292) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The White Sox are just 10-83 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The White Sox are just 25-35 (.417) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .604 (2,484 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .335 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .447 (4,299 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,981 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,713 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have drawn 382 walks in 6,493 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 107 walks in 1,713 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have 133 extra-base hits out of 422 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 152 of 2,076 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 524 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 234 of 2,288 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, D10
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