- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dany Toussaint
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 60-74 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 66-68 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -115 | -135 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -105 | +110 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 40 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+12.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+13.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Touki Toussaint | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 62 away games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 away games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 away games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 away games (+8.54 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games at home (+12.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+4.22 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 69-65 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -4.62% ROI).
- 60-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 1.79% ROI
- 65-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 62-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -5.88% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 66-68 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -8.53% ROI).
- 53-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.65 Units / -17.03% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -7.52% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.61% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of just 25% (7 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .197 (137 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .218 (17 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 2.02 (75.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 3.94 — 99th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (115/396) against Joe Ryan in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 29% (54/185) against Joe Ryan in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Touki Toussaint has a strike rate of just 58% (642/1,113) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Touki Toussaint’s pitches (438/1,113) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are just 29-38 (.433) after a home win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Tigers are just 13-20 (.394) after a home win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Tigers are just 15-20 (.429) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 44-7 (.863) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 6-18 (.250) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The White Sox are just 17-34 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 19-116 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (8,230 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .215 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,870 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .360 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (2,623 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have drawn 521 walks in 8,603 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 178 extra-base hits out of 557 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Tigers have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 544 of 5,217 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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