- The White Sox (76-74) are -185 favorites vs the Tigers (57-92)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez (3-5), 4.35 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (10-9), 5.07 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-185) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 56-92 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 66-83 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 7 +100 | +150 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +120 | U 7 -120 | -185 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+13.50 Units / 81% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 72 of his last 107 games (+30.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 109 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 95 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 49 games (+3.05 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 79 of their last 150 games (+11.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 68-79 against the Run Line (-22.7 Units / -12.23% ROI).
- 56-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.05 Units / -10.98% ROI
- 56-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -18.61% ROI
- 79-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 11.34% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 66-83 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -10.99% ROI).
- 75-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -9.17% ROI
- 67-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -6.59% ROI
- 72-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
Eduardo Rodriguez: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 399.2
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .365 (23 GB hits out of 63 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since the start of last season is 387.4 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (420/1,173) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (148/495) against Lucas Giolito since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a BABIP of .386 against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (240/876) against Lucas Giolito since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 27-86 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Tigers are just 40-8 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Tigers are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The White Sox are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The White Sox are 27-5 (.844) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,965 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .326 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,196 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,965 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 89 extra-base hits out of 305 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 260 walks in 4,475 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
White Sox hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1337.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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