Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 23, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox (76-74) are -185 favorites vs the Tigers (57-92)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez (3-5), 4.35 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (10-9), 5.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-185) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 56-92 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 66-83 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 7 +100+150
White Sox -1.5 +120U 7 -120-185

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 57.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+13.50 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 72 of his last 107 games (+30.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 109 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)

White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jose Abreu 0.5 +400 0.5 -700

White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jose Abreu 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lucas Giolito 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
Eduardo Rodriguez 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 95 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 49 games (+3.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 79 of their last 150 games (+11.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 68-79 against the Run Line (-22.7 Units / -12.23% ROI).

  • 56-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.05 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 56-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -18.61% ROI
  • 79-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 11.34% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 66-83 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -10.99% ROI).

  • 75-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -9.17% ROI
  • 67-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -6.59% ROI
  • 72-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 399.2

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .365 (23 GB hits out of 63 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since the start of last season is 387.4 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lucas Giolito has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (420/1,173) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (148/495) against Lucas Giolito since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed a BABIP of .386 against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (240/876) against Lucas Giolito since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Tigers are just 27-86 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Tigers are just 40-8 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Tigers are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The White Sox are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The White Sox are 27-5 (.844) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,965 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .326 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,196 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,965 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

White Sox hitters have 89 extra-base hits out of 305 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 260 walks in 4,475 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

White Sox hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1337.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.