- The White Sox (76-75) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (58-92)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (2-9), 4.59 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (2-4), 3.78 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-190) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5.
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 57-92 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 66-84 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 | O 8.5 -105 | +155 |
| White Sox | -1.5 | U 8.5 -115 | -190 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+12.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 108 games (+31.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 110 games (+23.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games at home (+17.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 110 games (+16.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.50 Units / 57% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 96 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+9.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 51 away games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+6.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 79 of their last 151 games (+11.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 69-79 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -11.6% ROI).
- 57-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.5 Units / -9.92% ROI
- 57-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.2 Units / -17.85% ROI
- 79-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 10.66% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 66-84 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -11.49% ROI).
- 75-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.33% ROI
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 28th — Chad Kuhl has the longest active streak at 11.
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has allowed an OBP of .349 (43 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (38/106) against Drew Hutchison in two-strike counts this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Davis Martin: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davis Martin has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.1 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Davis Martin has an ERA of 0.82 (11.0 IP)this month (2 games) — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 3.82 — 97th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .158 (6-for-38) against Davis Martin this month (2 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 91st Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Tigers are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Tigers are just 27-86 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 6-36 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The White Sox are 69-21 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox are 27-5 (.844) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The White Sox are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,999 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (3,999 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .194 (33 PA’s) during extra innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,906 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting just .162 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,836 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .443 (268 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 119 of 1,316 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1337.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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