- The White Sox (76-76) are -250 favorites vs the Tigers (59-92)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (4-10), 4.90 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (14-7), 2.13 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-250) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line odds sitting at –1.5 (-120).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 59-92 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 67-85 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 | O 7.5 +100 | +200 |
| White Sox | -1.5 | U 7.5 -120 | -250 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 away games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+16.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+9.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 72-79 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -9.81% ROI).
- 59-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 59-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.3 Units / -16.96% ROI
- 80-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.2 Units / 9.76% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 67-85 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -11.33% ROI).
- 76-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.65 Units / -9.86% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -5.91% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.34% ROI
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (27-for-72) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (45 Total Bases / 72 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .399 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (78/494) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (92/525) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 71 of 698 batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (173/428) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (86/222) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 24 of 197 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Tigers are just 58-82 (.414) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 27-86 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The White Sox are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The White Sox are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The White Sox are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,999 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (3,999 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,230 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .605 (1,711 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 308 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The White Sox are batting .293 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1337.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (650.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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