Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 11:33 AM
  • The White Sox (76-76) are -250 favorites vs the Tigers (59-92)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (4-10), 4.90 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (14-7), 2.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-250) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line odds sitting at 1.5 (-120).

The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 59-92 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 67-85 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5O 7.5 +100+200
White Sox -1.5U 7.5 -120-250

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 away games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+16.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+9.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 72-79 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -9.81% ROI).

  • 59-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -7.96% ROI
  • 59-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.3 Units / -16.96% ROI
  • 80-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.2 Units / 9.76% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 67-85 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -11.33% ROI).

  • 76-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.65 Units / -9.86% ROI
  • 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -5.91% ROI
  • 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.34% ROI

Opponents are hitting .375 (27-for-72) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (45 Total Bases / 72 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .399 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (78/494) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (92/525) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has walked 71 of 698 batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (173/428) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (86/222) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 24 of 197 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 58-82 (.414) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are just 27-86 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The White Sox are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The White Sox are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The White Sox are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,999 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (3,999 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,230 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .605 (1,711 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.

White Sox hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 308 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The White Sox are batting .293 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1337.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (650.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.