- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (-150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Sunday, September 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 62-74 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 66-70 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -105 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -125 | U 9.5 -115 | +125 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 games (+16.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+14.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+12.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 64 away games (+14.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 away games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 away games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.74 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.50 Units / 36% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games at home (+13.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 71-65 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -3.28% ROI).
- 62-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -5.82% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 66-70 against the Run Line (-17.6 Units / -9.75% ROI).
- 53-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.75 Units / -18.17% ROI
- 62-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -7.44% ROI
- 67-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -0.63% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 4% of batters they faced (23/542 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.9 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (78 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
Tarik Skubal has an average spin rate of 2111.9 RPM on sliders since last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 2397.9 — fifth Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 64% (16 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 56% (657/1,166) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 141 of 1,052 batters (13%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 25 of 152 batters (16%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 84 of 558 batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are just 49-59 (.454) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Tigers are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 44-7 (.863) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The White Sox are just 17-35 (.327) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The White Sox are just 17-20 (.459) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The White Sox are just 22-16 (.579) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,957 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .361 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (1,957 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,860 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .296 (5,058 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .676 (3,860 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 4.83 (632.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 550 of 5,304 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 115 of 1,212 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.19 (591.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Luis Robert Jr. (White Sox): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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