Tigers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:01 AM
  • The Yankees (38-15) are -300 favorites vs the Tigers (21-32)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Rony García (0-1), 4.69 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (1-1), 3.03 ERA
  • Watch the game on Peacock

The Detroit Tigers (+240) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-300) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Tigers vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 21-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-25 ATS.

Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+2.5 -120O 8 -110+240
Yankees -2.5 +100U 8 -110-300

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.60 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.75 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1H Total Under in 13 of their last 24 away games (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games (+16.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1H Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 27 of their last 49 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 24-29 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -10.66% ROI).

  • 21-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -12.32% ROI
  • 16-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -36.54% ROI
  • 34-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.8 Units / 28.87% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 28-25 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 5.79% ROI).

  • 38-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 13.01% ROI
  • 22-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -19.3% ROI
  • 30-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 9.85% ROI

Rony Garcia has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 46% (65/140) of the time this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Rony Garcia has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 48% (87/181) of the time this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Rony Garcia has a strike rate of just 59% (80/136) in two strike counts this season — tied for 14th lowest among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 14th Percentile.

Rony Garcia has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (59/93) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .677 (21 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .200 (4-for-20) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Jordan Montgomery’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — third Percentile.

91% of Jordan Montgomery’s breaking pitch strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

No Matchup notes for this Game

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

No Matchup notes for this Game

Tigers hitters are slugging just .287 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,397 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .318 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .253 (839 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.

Yankees hitters are slugging .611 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 72% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .558 (4,519 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Elbow, D15
  • Robert Grossman (Tigers): Neck, D10
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Vertigo, D10
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Victor Reyes (Tigers): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Ribcage, D15
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.