- The Yankees are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Tuesday, September 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Tigers vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 63-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 67-70 ATS.
Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -110 | +200 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -110 | -250 |
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+15.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
| Alex Faedo | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 65 away games (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 away games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.54 Units / 18% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+9.93 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.99 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.10 Units / 72% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 71-66 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -3.83% ROI).
- 63-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.8% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -5.1% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-70 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -3.7% ROI).
- 68-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 62-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -10.01% ROI
- 70-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.23% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has allowed a BABIP of .212 this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Alex Faedo over the last 30 days (5 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .206 (44-for-214) against Alex Faedo this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 97th Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed an OBP of just .266 (233 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .205 (62-for-303) against Gerrit Cole this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 93rd Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .272 (690 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 93rd Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .266 (33 Total Bases / 124 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 86th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .192 (10-for-52) against Gerrit Cole on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — 92nd Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are just 33-48 (.407) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Tigers are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-120 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 14-25 (.359) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 54-31 (.635) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Yankees are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,337 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .508 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (10,997 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .228 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,105 of their 5,029 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting just .227 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (383.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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