- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Watch the game on YES
The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Wednesday, September 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 63-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 68-70 ATS.
Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -115 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -105 | -165 |
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 72.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+17.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 44 games (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Everson Pereira has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 away games (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 away games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 66 away games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+6.54 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.83 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.99 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.73 Units / 42% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 71-67 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- 63-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -4.39% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-70 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -3.09% ROI).
- 69-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 62-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 71-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.87% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has allowed a BABIP of .214 this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .081 (3-for-37) against Matt Manning — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed an OBP of just .103 (29 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .071 (2-for-28) against Matt Manning — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OBP of .373 (391 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .309 — second Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2626.4 RPM on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 2241.2 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .275 (22-for-80) against Clarke Schmidt on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 95th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of .869 (392 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .709 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Tigers are just 33-48 (.407) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Tigers are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 16-15 (.516) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 105-28 (.789) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are just 1-58 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .641 (8,373 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (11,033 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,373 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (3,480 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,107 of their 5,062 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees are batting just .228 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Yankees are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting just .227 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed 340 barreled balls since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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