- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
- Watch the game on YES
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Thursday, September 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 63-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 68-71 ATS.
Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -110 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -110 | -160 |
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 30 games (+18.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 45 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 78% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Everson Pereira has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Carlos Rodon | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 67 away games (+13.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 away games (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 67 away games (+8.68 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 47% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games (+9.83 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.99 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.73 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 72-67 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 63-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 2.4% ROI
- 66-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -4.69% ROI
- 66-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -3.7% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-71 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -3.65% ROI).
- 70-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -5.86% ROI
- 62-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -11.27% ROI
- 72-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.51% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.97 (82.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (14/75) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.18 (53.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 4.33 — 98th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .193 (145 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (63 SO in 179 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .244 (21-for-86) against Carlos Rodon on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (6/44) against Carlos Rodon over the last 30 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (88 SO in 252 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 26-7 (.788) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .609.
The Tigers are just 33-48 (.407) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Tigers are just 19-83 (.186) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 20-121 (.142) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 71-25 (.740) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 56-31 (.644) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (383.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (3,520 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 3,138 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Tigers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
