- The Twins (58-53) are -110 favorites vs the Angels (49-64)
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (6-5), 5.01 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers (4-3), 3.43 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-110) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 58-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 53-60 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s matchup with 70.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+18.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 42 games (+24.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+16.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+14.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -110 |
| Dylan Bundy | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 away games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 94 games (+5.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 99 games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games at home (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -7.23% ROI).
- 58-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.88% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.74% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -8.35% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 53-60 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 49-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.3 Units / -19.06% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -10.12% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.14% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (293/396) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .615 (88 Total Bases / 143 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 0 Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .366 (139 Total Bases / 380 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.3 MPH on fastballs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — sixth Percentile.
Reid Detmers: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .148 (16-for-108) against Reid Detmers versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has a strikeout rate of 58% (19 SO in 33 PAs) with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .164 against Reid Detmers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 99th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (166/355) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-22 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Twins are just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Twins are 51-15 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 4-30 (.118) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Angels are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 49-56 (.467) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Angels are just 2-50 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .765 (1,418 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Twins hitters are slugging .520 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Twins hitters are slugging .421 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Twins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 107 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 778 strikeouts in 2,892 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .640 (3,126 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Angels are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Angels hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 57 of 484 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,164 of 12,663 batters (9%) since the start of 2020 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
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