- The Twins (58-54) are -135 favorites vs the Angels (50-64)
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-5), 4.02 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Joseph Davidson (1-3), 7.91 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (-135) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 58-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 54-60 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -110 | -135 |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -110 | +110 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s matchup with 72.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+19.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 34 away games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 43 games (+25.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+15.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+12.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tucker Davidson | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
| Chris Archer | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 110 games (+13.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 48 away games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 43% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -7.91% ROI).
- 58-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.64% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.73% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -8.28% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -7.21% ROI).
- 50-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.3 Units / -18.26% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -10.02% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.12% ROI
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (192/363) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (13/20) against Chris Archer — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
11 of Chris Archer’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (134/295) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Joseph Davidson: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tucker Davidson has allowed at least 3 walks in each of his last five games — tied with Manny Banuelos and Mike Minor for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 7-38 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Twins are just 49-7 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-30 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Angels are just 5-48 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Angels are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .517 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .742 (2,125 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Twins hitters are slugging .607 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Twins hitters have chased 50% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,140 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Angels are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Angels are batting just .220 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Angels are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels pitchers have walked 56 of 492 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
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