- The Angels are -125 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-125) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 24-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 23-23 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.05 Units / 129% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 69% ROI)
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Louie Varland | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Patrick Sandoval | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 away games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 24-21 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 5.75% ROI).
- 24-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -5.25% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -9.06% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.51% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 23-23 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -4.51% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -3.56% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -7.82% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Louie Varland has allowed three-ball counts to 14% of batters they faced (13/95 PA’s) this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 92nd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Louie Varland’s pitches (191/362) this season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Louie Varland’s pitches (109/192) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 49% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (5-for-31) against Louie Varland — 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 88th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of just .092 (6 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 30% (31 SO in 103 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 16% (31 SO in 190 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 16% (31 SO in 190 PAs) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 5-20 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Twins are just 10-70 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 6-17 (.261) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Angels are just 11-52 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Twins hitters have 110 strikeouts in 382 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Twins are batting just .208 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .212 (929 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 108 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Angels have answered-back in 47% of innings after an opponent scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .305 (975 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Angels hitters have just 85 strikeouts in 432 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 165 of 1,846 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,291 of 13,985 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- Joseph Davidson (Angels): Leg, Day-to-Day
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
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