- The Angels are -155 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Watch the game on BSW
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-155) on Sunday, May 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 25-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 23-24 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 +100 | +125 |
| Angels | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.85 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+9.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.75 Units / 74% ROI)
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -130 |
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 away games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 46 games (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 46 games (+2.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 25-21 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 7.37% ROI).
- 25-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -10.84% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 2.48% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 23-24 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -6.08% ROI).
- 24-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -5.42% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.76% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -5.68% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (11 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — fourth Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (264/954) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .105 (4-for-38) against Pablo Lopez’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has struck out 33% (43/129) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 41% (59/145) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.000 (28 total bases in 28 ABs) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (26-for-179) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .075 (8-for-106) against Shohei Ohtani with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 5-20 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 10-70 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 6-17 (.261) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Angels are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .221 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Twins hitters are slugging just .367 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Twins hitters have 113 strikeouts in 405 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .215 (951 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have just 86 strikeouts in 435 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 108 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .268 (590 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have 1,416 strikeouts in 5,500 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (1,145 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Angels pitchers have walked 165 of 1,855 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
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