- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: TWTV | SCHN
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on July 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.
This season, the Twins are 41-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 43-45 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 6-3, 3.98 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Tatsuya Imai 5-3, 5.40 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -118 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -102 | -135 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.40 Units / 290% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+17.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 47-40 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -3.5% ROI).
- 41-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -3.53% ROI
- 51-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.9 Units / 18.68% ROI
- 30-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.15 Units / -27.34% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 43-45 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -7.11% ROI).
- 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.67% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 4.38% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -13.93% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | +250 |
| Christian Walker | +280 |
| Kody Clemens | +310 |
| Isaac Paredes | +340 |
| Royce Lewis | +360 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Twins are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-20 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros are just 14-19 (.424) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (27th runs allowed).
The Astros are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 18-24 (.429) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Astros are 32-2 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .270 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Twins are batting just .222 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .758 (2,335 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Astros hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Astros hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 100 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (359.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 4.73 (779.1 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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