Twins vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Astros are -140 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Twins / Astros TV Channel: TWTV | SCHN

The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Twins are 40-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 42-44 ATS.

Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 3-5, 4.63 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 6-4, 3.30 ERA

Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -185O 9 -118+115
Astros -1.5 +150U 9 -102-140

Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.10 Units / 201% ROI)
  • Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+15.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 46-39 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -3.58% ROI).

  • 40-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -3.72% ROI
  • 50-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.9 Units / 18.02% ROI
  • 30-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -26.76% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 42-44 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -7.27% ROI).

  • 42-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -3.35% ROI
  • 45-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 3.43% ROI
  • 37-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -13% ROI

Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +190
Yordan Alvarez +200
Christian Walker +310
Kody Clemens +340
Royce Lewis +350

Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Jose Altuve 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Victor Caratini 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Loperfido 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Taylor Trammell 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Kody Clemens 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Cam Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Twins are just 0-38 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Twins are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-27 (.229) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Astros are just 13-18 (.419) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (27th runs allowed).

The Astros are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Astros are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .943.

The Twins are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting .290 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 52% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 256 extra-base hits out of 701 total hits (36%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 122 total hits (47%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (342.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 4.86 (750.2 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.