- The Twins are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Minnesota Twins (-185) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Twins vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 47-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 44-50 ATS.
Twins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -120 | -185 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | U 8 +100 | +150 |
Twins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 83.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+10.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+8.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.95 Units / 71% ROI)
Athletics vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Athletics vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Athletics vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Athletics vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Joe Ryan | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 games (+15.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 94% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 45-48 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -4.04% ROI).
- 47-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -9.47% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -11.65% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 3.33% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 44-50 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 25-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.6 Units / -27.19% ROI
- 48-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 3.26% ROI
- 40-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -12.17% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a .467 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)– 14th Percentile and just .282 vs left-handed batters this season (second best among qualified SPs)– 97th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 71% (594/832) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (882/2,044) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Joe Ryan’s pitches (943/1,679) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (78/278) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (15/134) against JP Sears on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (57/220) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (21/95) against JP Sears’ curve and slider this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 21-5 (.808) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins are just 15-30 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Athletics are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Athletics are just 14-53 (.209) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Athletics are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Athletics are just 12-34 (.261) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 712 strikeouts in 2,623 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have been successful in 122% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .225 (1,936 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,585 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .191 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,372 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 265 of 3,430 batters (8%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.07 (827.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 87 of 829 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 7 of 26 batters (27%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Athletics vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Brent Rooker (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
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