Twins vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Twins vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Twins / Athletics TV Channel: BSNO | NSCA | MLBN

The Minnesota Twins (-160) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Twins are 41-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 39-38 ATS.

Twins vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 5-3, 5.26 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 2-2, 6.09 ERA

Twins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +100O 8 -110-160
Athletics +1.5 -120U 8 -110+135

Twins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 away games (+26.80 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+29.40 Units / 420% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+13.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.29 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-42 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -13.12% ROI).

  • 41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.95% ROI
  • 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -8.23% ROI
  • 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.8% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 39-38 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -6.4% ROI).

  • 28-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -11.56% ROI
  • 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -14.67% ROI
  • 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 4.64% ROI

Athletics vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650

Athletics vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Athletics vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Athletics vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Paddack (MIN) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
Joey Estes (OAK) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (47 Total Bases / 92 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — first Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (70 Total Bases / 117 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — second Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of .921 (121 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 (34 GB hits out of 92 GBs) against Chris Paddack this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (21/108) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (37/108) against Joey Estes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Joey Estes has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 21 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Joey Estes this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Twins are just 6-12 (.333) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Twins are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .941.

The Twins are 104-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Twins are 71-57 (.555) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Athletics are just 42-79 (.347) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Athletics are just 133-219 (.378) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Athletics are just 37-99 (.272) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Twins are batting .274 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .173.

Twins hitters have drawn 43 walks in 699 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .313 (361 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Twins are batting .332 at home this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Athletics are batting just .202 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Athletics are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Athletics are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Athletics are batting just .220 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Twins pitchers have walked 642 of 8,819 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers have walked 143 of 2,122 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.63 (1007.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Athletics have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Athletics vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.