- The Blue Jays (30-21) are -175 favorites vs the Twins (31-23)
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (3-2), 4.765 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (3-2), 5.617 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Minnesota Twins (+145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Twins vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 31-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 22-29 ATS.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Garlick has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Garlick has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Garlick has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1H Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1H Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 24-30 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -10.48% ROI).
- 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 5.86% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -8.77% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.5% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 22-29 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -14.16% ROI).
- 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -13.01% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 2.95% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (48/98) against Dylan Bundy in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (39/52) in his last two starts — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 37% (109/296) against Dylan Bundy this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Dylan Bundy’s breaking pitches (270/726) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .455 (46 Total Bases / 101 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (53/170) against Jose Berrios this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of .370 (34/92) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .193 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .774 (110 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .491 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Twins are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Twins are just 27-3 (.900) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Twins are 15-2 (.882) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Blue Jays are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Blue Jays are 17-9 (.654) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Blue Jays are 25-7 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have drawn 52 walks in 475 PA’s (11%) when leading off an inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins are batting .253 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Twins have an average HR distance of 406.0 feet since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.
The Twins have scored 1.13 runs per game (244/215) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,933 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Twins have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins pitchers have walked 13 of 281 batters (5%) over the past seven days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 128 of 1,883 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 601 of 7,799 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.7).
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 28 of 453 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D10
- Carlos Correa (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
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