- The Blue Jays (31-21) are -225 favorites vs the Twins (31-24)
- Twins starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer (2-0), 1.50 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (5-3), 2.50 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Minnesota Twins (+180) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Twins vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 31-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 23-29 ATS.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jermaine Palacios has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+2.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jermaine Palacios has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 6 away games (+0.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.60 Units / 76% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1H Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1H Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 24-31 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -12.3% ROI).
- 31-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 4.47% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -6.86% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.54% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 23-29 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -12.2% ROI).
- 31-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -10.96% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.7% ROI
Devin Smeltzer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Devin Smeltzer has not walked any of the 41 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Devin Smeltzer has not allowed a HR in any of his last nine starts dating back to August 4th, 2019 — Martin Perez has the longest active streak at 10.
Devin Smeltzer has allowed an OBP of just .171 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .292 — 97th Percentile.
Devin Smeltzer has not allowed a home run in any of the last 43.0 innings he’s appeared — Martin Perez has the longest active streak at 70.1.
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (294/407) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (546/927) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 47% (120/258) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 45% (90/200) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
No Matchup notes for this Game
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins have scored 1.13 runs per game (245/216) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Twins hitters are slugging just .464 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .557.
The Twins have an average HR distance of 406.1 feet since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.
Twins hitters have pulled 48% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,233 strikeouts in 6,071 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 130 of 1,918 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 603 of 7,834 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 30 of 462 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D10
- Carlos Correa (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Twins): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
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