- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Monday, June 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Twins vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 40-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-41 ATS.
Twins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | -225 |
Twins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 82.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+12.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 112% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+16.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Braves vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Braves vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Braves vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Braves vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -140 |
| Sonny Gray | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 77 games (+11.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 39-40 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.46% ROI).
- 40-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -10.21% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 3.59% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 36-41 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -6.27% ROI).
- 50-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 6.35% ROI
- 44-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +11 Units / 12.99% ROI
- 30-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -21.95% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has walked 21 of 192 right-handed batters (11%) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (64/114) against Sonny Gray this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .329 (101 Total Bases / 307 ABs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .200 (32-for-160) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 15th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (309/794) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (136 SO in 349 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 45% (169/376) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 41% (68/167) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are just 7-22 (.241) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Twins are just 18-32 (.360) after a road win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Twins are 15-3 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .608.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are 16-9 (.640) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Braves are 38-24 (.613) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 11-5 (.688) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Braves are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Twins hitters have 807 strikeouts in 2,985 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .666 (706 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Twins hitters have 617 strikeouts in 2,279 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .542 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .899 (739 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Braves hitters are slugging .491 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 49 of 711 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Twins pitchers have walked 10 of 251 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days (28 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Braves vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Jorge López (Twins): Mental Health, D15
Bet now on Twins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
