- The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Watch the game on TBS
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Twins vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 40-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 37-41 ATS.
Twins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -105 | -155 |
Twins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 50% ROI)
Braves vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Braves vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Braves vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Joe Ryan | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 games (+9.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.30 Units / 58% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 39-41 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 40-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -11.02% ROI
- 35-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -12.78% ROI
- 42-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 4.68% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 37-41 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -5.12% ROI).
- 51-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 7% ROI
- 44-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 11.6% ROI
- 31-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -20.49% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (90/134) against Bryce Elder this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (333/693) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 87% (13/15) against Bryce Elder over the last 14 days (2 games) — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (93/156) against Bryce Elder in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
keys to the game – away
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
keys to the game – home
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .216 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Twins hitters have been successful in 129% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Twins are batting just .233 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .451 (1,669 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .542 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .899 (739 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Braves are batting .275 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Jorge López (Twins): Mental Health, D15
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