Twins vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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Milwaukee Brewers' William Contreras hits a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Twins vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Twins are 65-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 57-68 ATS.

Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +145O 8 +100-115
Brewers +1.5 -175U 8 -120-105

Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pablo Lopez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 29 games (+19.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jordan Luplow 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Christian Yelich 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jordan Luplow 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Christian Yelich 1.5 +200 1.5 -275

Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Jordan Luplow 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Christian Yelich 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bailey Ober 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Wade Miley 4.5 +120 4.5 -160
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 63 away games (+15.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 103 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-66 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -5.81% ROI).

  • 65-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -7.11% ROI
  • 58-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -6.96% ROI
  • 61-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.4% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 57-68 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -9.77% ROI).

  • 68-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 2.68% ROI
  • 53-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -14.79% ROI
  • 66-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 5.8% ROI

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (962/1,249) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 (10 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Bailey Ober with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (646/830) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .400 (28 GB hits out of 70 GBs) against Bailey Ober with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Wade Miley has a strikeout rate of just 18% (4 SO in 22 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Wade Miley has a strikeout rate of just 9% (4 SO in 46 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (225/439) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (175/344) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 15-92 (.140) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Twins are just 24-38 (.387) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers are 18-9 (.667) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 30-9 (.769) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Twins hitters have 987 strikeouts in 3,559 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters have been successful in 100% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Twins hitters have 1,289 strikeouts in 4,739 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters are slugging just .240 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .229 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .358 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Brewers hitters have 721 strikeouts in 2,842 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 130 PA’s (14%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers have walked 76 of 1,118 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
  • Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
  • Salvatore Frelick (Brewers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
  • Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
  • Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
  • Joseph Ryan (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
  • José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.