• The Brewers are -200 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Twins / Brewers TV Channel: TWTV | BRTV

The Minnesota Twins (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on August 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Twins are 57-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 62-53 ATS.

Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 3-5, 4.76 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 11-5, 1.62 ERA

Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.10 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
• Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+13.75 Units / 69% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Cooper Pratt has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+16.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+9.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 62-53 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -2.03% ROI).

• 57-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.65% ROI
• 61-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.6 Units / 5.93% ROI
• 48-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -15.11% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 62-53 against the Run Line (+18 Units / 13.6% ROI).

• 72-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 6.95% ROI
• 49-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -16.67% ROI
• 64-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 8.25% ROI

Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Twins were just 70-92 (.432) in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 69 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (48%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .426 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .441 in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .384 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,316 of their 4,447 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (507.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.44 runs per game (321/59) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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