Twins vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

Milwaukee Brewers' Christian Yelich hits an RBI single during the third inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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The Minnesota Twins (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Twins are 58-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 62-55 ATS.

Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-8, 3.64 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 6-1, 2.72 ERA

Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 +100O 7.5 -125+220
Brewers -1.5 -120U 7.5 +105-275

Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 72.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+16.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+13.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Jacob Misiorowski has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+8.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 64% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-53 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.78% ROI).

  • 58-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.23% ROI
  • 62-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 5.75% ROI
  • 49-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.3 Units / -14.93% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 62-55 against the Run Line (+16 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 73-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 6.39% ROI
  • 50-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.2 Units / -16.46% ROI
  • 65-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.35 Units / 8.04% ROI

Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jackson Chourio +325
Gary Sanchez +333
William Contreras +380
Kody Clemens +390
Ryan Jeffers +400

Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
William Contreras 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Brice Turang 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kaelen Culpepper 0.5 -285 0.5 +200
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Luke Keaschall 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Cooper Pratt 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
William Contreras 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers were 79-6 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 147 total hits (48%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,346 of their 4,523 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .381 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .295 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.43 runs per game (331/61) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 4.60 (1041.0 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.