- The Twins are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Minnesota Twins (-140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Twins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 55-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 54-54 ATS.
Twins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -120 | -140 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -140 | U 9 +100 | +115 |
Twins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 38 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.50 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+16.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cardinals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Dakota Hudson | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 54 away games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 50-58 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -7.99% ROI).
- 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -9.25% ROI
- 51-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -6.31% ROI
- 53-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -2.2% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 54-54 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- 47-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.05 Units / -20.88% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -3.16% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -5.03% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a .502 SLG vs right-handed batters (second worst)– third Percentile and just .306 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (46/164) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (520/929) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% (652/929) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (701/1,210) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (131/225) against Dakota Hudson since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (12/105) against Dakota Hudson on low breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,564/2,606) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Twins are just 10-23 (.303) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 23-6 (.793) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Twins are 10-35 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cardinals are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Cardinals are 27-8 (.771) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 12-9 (.571) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Cardinals are just 36-5 (.878) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 861 strikeouts in 3,119 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .290 (979 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Twins hitters are slugging just .368 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Twins hitters have been successful in 109% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 338 extra-base hits out of 820 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (2,319 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (2,319 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 298 of 3,998 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 64 of 970 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
Bet now on Twins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
