Twins vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

Chicago Cubs' Dansby Swanson waves to the crowd before batting against his former team the Atlanta Braves in the second inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, Sept. 26, 2023, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
  • The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Twins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 6 Runs
  • Twins / Cubs TV Channel: BSNO | MARQ

The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 63-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 55-60 ATS.

Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 10-7, 4.67 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-2, 3.12 ERA

Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +165O 6 -105-115
Cubs +1.5 -200U 6 -115-105

Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+16.00 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 36 games (+23.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 44 games (+21.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+21.45 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 91 games (+10.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 103 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 55-56 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.23% ROI).

  • 63-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.16% ROI
  • 57-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.77% ROI
  • 49-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -11.42% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 55-60 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • 55-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.06% ROI
  • 49-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.14% ROI
  • 62-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 6.65% ROI

Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1200

Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manuel Margot (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Cubs vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pablo Lopez (MIN) 6.5 -105 6.5 -120
Shota Imanaga (CHC) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (219/613) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has walked 9 of 243 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 28% (56 SO in 197 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has walked 6 of 198 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shota Imanaga has walked 4 of 176 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .369 (41-for-111) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .227 (176 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (304/843) against Shota Imanaga this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Twins are 51-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Twins are 122-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Twins are 24-87 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Twins are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Cubs are just 8-16 (.333) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Cubs are 33-31 (.516) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Cubs are just 13-175 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Cubs are just 42-10 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,309 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Twins have scored 1.82 runs per game (496/273) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,361 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.

The Twins have scored 193 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs are batting just .226 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Cubs are batting just .324 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .530 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.

The Cubs are batting .288 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers have walked 731 of 10,131 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have walked 1,199 of 16,173 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 1,019 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 53 double plays in 813 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (6,905 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

Cubs vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
  • Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.