• The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
• Twins / Cubs TV Channel: TWTV | MARQ

The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on July 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 48-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 42-53 ATS.

Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 2-5, 5.00 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 7-5, 4.76 ERA

Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+16.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 84% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+17.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 53-44 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -1.68% ROI).

• 48-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.79% ROI
• 54-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +13 Units / 12.15% ROI
• 37-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.45 Units / -21.09% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 42-53 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -8.43% ROI).

• 54-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.78% ROI
• 51-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 3.07% ROI
• 44-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -10.81% ROI

Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Twins are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Twins are just 0-42 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 0-42 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Cubs are 16-4 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .628.

The Cubs are 27-2 (.931) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

The Cubs are 34-19 (.642) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Cubs are just 6-15 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .458 against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting .283 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,810 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,083 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .429 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.46 runs per game (251/46) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .267 against Twins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 73% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH this season (2,446 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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