• The Cubs are -170 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Twins / Cubs TV Channel: TWTV | MARQ

The Minnesota Twins (+140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-170) on July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 49-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 43-54 ATS.

Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 4-6, 4.64 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-8, 4.17 ERA

Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+14.50 Units / 64% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+14.00 Units / 233% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.45 Units / 51% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+8.10 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+13.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 54-45 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -2% ROI).

• 49-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
• 54-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.7 Units / 9.79% ROI
• 39-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.45 Units / -18.84% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 43-54 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -8.02% ROI).

• 55-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.38% ROI
• 51-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 0.88% ROI
• 46-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -8.74% ROI

Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Twins are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 0-40 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Twins are just 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Twins are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Cubs are 28-2 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Cubs are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .784.

The Cubs are 4-41 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Cubs are 41-3 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 58 extra-base hits out of 120 total hits (48%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .779 (1,109 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Twins are batting .179 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,088 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .781 (1,088 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs have scored first in just 27% of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,112 of their 3,854 plate appearances (29%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .289 against Twins pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 73% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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