Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:18 AM
  • The Twins (37-29) are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (31-35)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (3-3), 5.87 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Luke Weaver (1-0), 4.90 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Minnesota Twins (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Twins vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 38-28 ATS.

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +135O 9 +100-120
Diamondbacks +1.5 -160U 9 -120+100

Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.50 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Diamondbacks vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Thomas 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Christian Walker 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Daulton Varsho 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
    David Peralta 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

    Diamondbacks vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Thomas 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Daulton Varsho 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    David Peralta 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
    Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

    Diamondbacks vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Thomas 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    Christian Walker 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
    Daulton Varsho 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    David Peralta 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

    Diamondbacks vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Luke Weaver 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
    Dylan Bundy 3.5 -115 3.5 -120
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 59 games (+1.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 30-36 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -9.99% ROI).

    • 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 6.91% ROI
    • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -4.85% ROI
    • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -3.06% ROI

    Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 38-28 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 9% ROI).

    • 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.37% ROI
    • 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -15.35% ROI
    • 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 6.33% ROI

    Dylan Bundy has an ERA of 8.54 (26.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 4.07 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .400 (16-for-40) against Dylan Bundy with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .353 (42-for-119) against Dylan Bundy on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .312 (30-for-96) against Dylan Bundy’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .222 — fourth Percentile.

    Luke Weaver: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Luke Weaver has limited playing time.

    Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

    The Twins are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

    The Twins are 18-6 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Twins are 32-10 (.762) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

    The Diamondbacks are just 80-21 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

    The Diamondbacks are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Diamondbacks are just 44-99 (.308) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

    The Diamondbacks are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    Twins hitters are slugging .551 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

    Twins hitters are slugging just .492 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.

    Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,474 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

    The Twins have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (159/2,437) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.

    The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

    Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

    Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .574 (1,675 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

    Twins pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Twins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 118 times since the start of last season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

    The Twins pitchers have allowed 520 barreled balls since the start of last season — 3rd most in MLB.

    Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Diamondbacks vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Back, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.