- The Twins (37-29) are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (31-35)
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (3-3), 5.87 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Luke Weaver (1-0), 4.90 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 38-28 ATS.
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 9 +100 | -120 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -120 | +100 |
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Diamondbacks vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Diamondbacks vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Dylan Bundy | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 30-36 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -9.99% ROI).
- 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 6.91% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -4.85% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -3.06% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 38-28 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 9% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -15.35% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 6.33% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has an ERA of 8.54 (26.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 4.07 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (16-for-40) against Dylan Bundy with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .353 (42-for-119) against Dylan Bundy on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .312 (30-for-96) against Dylan Bundy’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .222 — fourth Percentile.
Luke Weaver: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has limited playing time.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Twins are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Twins are 18-6 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Twins are 32-10 (.762) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Diamondbacks are just 80-21 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Diamondbacks are just 44-99 (.308) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Diamondbacks are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .551 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Twins hitters are slugging just .492 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,474 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Twins have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (159/2,437) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .574 (1,675 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 118 times since the start of last season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
The Twins pitchers have allowed 520 barreled balls since the start of last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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