Twins vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (75-33) are -225 favorites vs the Twins (57-51)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (8-4), 3.67 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (11-6), 2.56 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Minnesota Twins (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Twins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 57-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 67-41 ATS.

Twins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -115O 8 -105+180
Dodgers -1.5 -105U 8 -115-225

Twins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+15.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 105 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 57 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+11.45 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)

Dodgers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gavin Lux 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Joey Gallo 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Justin Turner 0.5 +340 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Joey Gallo 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Gavin Lux 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Joey Gallo 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Justin Turner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
Joe Ryan 4.5 -115 4.5 -125
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 106 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 96 games (+4.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 105 games (+25.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+18.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 104 games (+17.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 108 games (+10.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 51-57 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.68% ROI).

  • 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.21% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -7.58% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 67-41 against the Run Line (+23.65 Units / 18.46% ROI).

  • 75-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 2.96% ROI
  • 42-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -17.58% ROI
  • 57-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.15 Units / 8.51% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (10/68) against Joe Ryan on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (75/251) against Joe Ryan this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (29/96) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 73 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.

Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .216 (72-for-334) against Julio Urias this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 85th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (1,190/1,730) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.6 MPH on the road since the start of last season (454 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Julio Urias has not walked any of the 49 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-36 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-21 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Dodgers are 68-13 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Dodgers are 38-15 (.717) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Dodgers are 117-47 (.713) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Twins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (50%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging .609 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,006 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Twins hitters are slugging .528 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,144 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,272 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 72% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (7,368 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (2,541 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (2,541 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (482.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,256 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Emilio Pagán (Twins): Cramp, Day-to-Day
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.