Twins vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (75-33) are -225 favorites vs the Twins (57-51)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (8-4), 3.67 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (11-6), 2.56 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Minnesota Twins (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Twins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 57-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 67-41 ATS.

Twins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -115O 8 -105+180
Dodgers -1.5 -105U 8 -115-225

Twins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+15.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 105 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 57 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+11.45 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)

Dodgers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gavin Lux 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Joey Gallo 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Justin Turner 0.5 +340 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Joey Gallo 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Gavin Lux 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Joey Gallo 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Justin Turner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
Joe Ryan 4.5 -115 4.5 -125
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 106 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 96 games (+4.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 105 games (+25.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+18.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 104 games (+17.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 108 games (+10.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 51-57 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.68% ROI).

  • 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.21% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -7.58% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 67-41 against the Run Line (+23.65 Units / 18.46% ROI).

  • 75-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 2.96% ROI
  • 42-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -17.58% ROI
  • 57-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.15 Units / 8.51% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (10/68) against Joe Ryan on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (75/251) against Joe Ryan this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (29/96) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 73 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.

Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .216 (72-for-334) against Julio Urias this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 85th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (1,190/1,730) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.6 MPH on the road since the start of last season (454 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Julio Urias has not walked any of the 49 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-36 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-21 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Dodgers are 68-13 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Dodgers are 38-15 (.717) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Dodgers are 117-47 (.713) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Twins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (50%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging .609 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,006 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Twins hitters are slugging .528 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,144 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,272 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 72% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (7,368 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (2,541 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (2,541 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (482.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,256 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Emilio Pagán (Twins): Cramp, Day-to-Day
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10

Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.