- The Dodgers are -210 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Dodgers TV Channel: TWTV | SNLA
The Minnesota Twins (+140) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-170) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Twins are 48-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-56 ATS.
Twins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 3-3, 5.26 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 0-0, 1.00 ERA
Twins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -120 | +140 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | U 9 +100 | -170 |
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 79% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.85 Units / 88% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+32.00 Units / 533% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 67% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+13.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 away games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+4.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 89 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 47-49 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -2.35% ROI).
- 48-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -9.98% ROI
- 41-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -16.57% ROI
- 54-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.65 Units / 7.89% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-56 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -12.27% ROI).
- 58-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -6.23% ROI
- 54-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 6.57% ROI
- 43-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -14.23% ROI
Dodgers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Dodgers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Dodgers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.0 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 25.2.
David Festa has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (231/801) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.
The last hit on a David Festa changeup was June 22nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his changeup. — tied with Robert Garcia for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
David Festa has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 41 opportunities (2%) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .633 (644 total bases in 1,018 ABs) since last season — best in NL; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .689 (451 total bases in 655 ABs) against RHP since last season — best in NL; League Avg: .442 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .689 (451 total bases in 655 ABs) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .439 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani slugged .717 (294 total bases in 410 ABs) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Twins are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 2-110 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Dodgers are 20-6 (.769) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 26-7 (.788) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have struck out in just 10% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Twins are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
28% of Twins hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .456 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (10,102 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Twins pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 41 double plays in 658 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
More MLB Reading:
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