- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Dodgers TV Channel: TWTV | SNLA | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+185) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Twins are 48-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 44-56 ATS.
Twins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 5-4, 3.99 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 8-7, 2.62 ERA
Twins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -110 | +185 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -110 | -225 |
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 74% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 away games (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 away games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 90 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 47-50 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.33% ROI).
- 48-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 41-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.95 Units / -17.34% ROI
- 55-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.65 Units / 8.71% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 44-56 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -11.29% ROI).
- 59-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -5.63% ROI
- 54-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 5.61% ROI
- 44-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -13.17% ROI
Dodgers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Dodgers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (69 Total Bases / 109 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a first-pitch in-zone of 75% (30/40) in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 56% — 98th Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a first-pitch strike rate of 80% (32/40) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (8/29) against Simeon Woods Richardson over the last 14 days — 8th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 15th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown low pitches 56% of the time (235/416) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (82/127) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s off-speed pitches this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (56/105) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in two-strike counts this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (7/50) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Twins are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Twins are just 20-32 (.385) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Twins are just 2-111 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Dodgers are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have struck out in just 9% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .219 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
28% of Twins hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (10,134 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .466 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,802 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Twins vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
