- The Dodgers are -220 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Dodgers TV Channel: TWTV | SNLA | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-220) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Twins are 49-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 44-57 ATS.
Twins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 3-9, 5.15 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 1-1, 3.11 ERA
Twins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -115 | O 9 -118 | +180 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -105 | U 9 -102 | -220 |
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Walks Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.85 Units / 137% ROI)
- Chris Paddack has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+6.20 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+31.00 Units / 443% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 away games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 away games (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 94 games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 91 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 48-50 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.5% ROI).
- 49-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -9.33% ROI
- 42-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -16.26% ROI
- 55-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 7.64% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 44-57 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -12.02% ROI).
- 59-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -6.59% ROI
- 55-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 6.45% ROI
- 44-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.7 Units / -14.02% ROI
Dodgers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -155 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Dodgers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Conforto (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .745 (35 Total Bases / 47 ABs) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .384 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .404 (19-for-47) against Chris Paddack over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of 1.441 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .647 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Chris Paddack over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .166 (84-for-507) against Tyler Glasnow since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .136 (22 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .279 — 94th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .224 (330 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .094 (30-for-319) against Tyler Glasnow with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Twins are just 21-32 (.396) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Twins are just 2-111 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Twins are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Dodgers are 20-6 (.769) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
29% of Twins hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (10,173 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .889 (970 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .803 (5,092 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 43 double plays in 673 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 38% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 43% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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