Twins vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 29, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (43-34) are -110 favorites vs the Guardians (37-34)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (4-4), 4.80 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-4), 3.75 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-110) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Twins vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 43-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 38-33 ATS.

Twins vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +145O 8.5 +100-110
Guardians +1.5 -175U 8.5 -120-110

Twins vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Singles Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Guardians vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Josh Naylor 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Guardians vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Franmil Reyes 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Josh Naylor 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Guardians vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Josh Naylor 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Guardians vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
Dylan Bundy 3.5 +100 3.5 -145
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 40 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 35-42 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -8.43% ROI).

  • 43-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 4.9% ROI
  • 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -6.05% ROI
  • 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.16% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 38-33 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 1.88% ROI).

  • 37-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 5.46% ROI
  • 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.19% ROI
  • 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -5.51% ROI

Dylan Bundy has not walked any of the 53 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .429 (12 GB hits out of 28 GBs) against Dylan Bundy with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has walked 4 of 109 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has averaged 79.6 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — fourth Percentile.

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (45/344) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has thrown his slider 44% of the time (238/537) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (14/97) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (22/181) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Twins are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 23-17 (.575) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Twins are 18-5 (.783) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Twins are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Guardians are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Guardians are 23-2 (.920) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Guardians are 25-3 (.893) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Guardians are 6-26 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (2,050 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .752 (2,050 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Twins are batting .251 with two outs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Twins hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 140 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have just 333 strikeouts in 1,885 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .619 (787 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed 176 barreled balls this season — most in MLB.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Guardians vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Hedges (Guardians): Concussion, D7
  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Trevor Megill (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Joseph Smith (Twins): Trap, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.