- The Twins (43-34) are -110 favorites vs the Guardians (37-34)
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (4-4), 4.80 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-4), 3.75 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-110) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Twins vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 43-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 38-33 ATS.
Twins vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Twins vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Singles Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Guardians vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Guardians vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
Guardians vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
| Dylan Bundy | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 40 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 35-42 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -8.43% ROI).
- 43-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 4.9% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -6.05% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.16% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 38-33 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 1.88% ROI).
- 37-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -5.51% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has not walked any of the 53 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .429 (12 GB hits out of 28 GBs) against Dylan Bundy with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has walked 4 of 109 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has averaged 79.6 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (45/344) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has thrown his slider 44% of the time (238/537) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (14/97) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (22/181) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Twins are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 23-17 (.575) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Twins are 18-5 (.783) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Twins are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Guardians are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Guardians are 23-2 (.920) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Guardians are 25-3 (.893) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Guardians are 6-26 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (2,050 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .752 (2,050 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Twins are batting .251 with two outs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Twins hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 140 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Guardians hitters have just 333 strikeouts in 1,885 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .619 (787 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed 176 barreled balls this season — most in MLB.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Guardians vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Hedges (Guardians): Concussion, D7
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Trevor Megill (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Joseph Smith (Twins): Trap, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
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