- The Mariners are -165 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Mariners TV Channel: FS1 | TWTV | MRTV
The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-165) on August 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Twins are 55-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-67 ATS.
Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 3-5, 4.73 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 8-6, 3.43 ERA
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -120 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 +100 | -165 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Connor Prielipp has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Connor Prielipp has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Connor Prielipp has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Connor Prielipp has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Connor Prielipp has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.30 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 58-52 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- 55-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.85% ROI
- 58-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 5.72% ROI
- 46-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.85 Units / -14.8% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 43-67 against the Run Line (-16.25 Units / -13.54% ROI).
- 53-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -12.71% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.7% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -7.62% ROI
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mariners (fifth runs allowed).
The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Mariners (fifth runs allowed).
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are just 16-31 (.340) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (ninth in runs scored).
The Mariners are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .283 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters have been successful in just 62% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Twins hitters have 65 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (48%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .229 this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Twins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Twins have allowed 5.50 runs per game (297/54) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
The Twins have allowed 4.95 runs per game (550/111) this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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