Twins vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez reacts after the umpires confirmed a challenged call, ruling him out for fan interference on a foul ball during the eighth inning of the team's baseball game against the Oakland Athletics, Tuesday, May 23, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Caean Couto)
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  • The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Twins / Mariners TV Channel: TWTV | MRTV

The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on August 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Twins are 56-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-69 ATS.

Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 9-4, 3.66 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 8-9, 3.99 ERA

Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -190O 7 +105+115
Mariners -1.5 +155U 7 -125-140

Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+13.60 Units / 194% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cole Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+17.30 Units / 247% ROI)
  • George Kirby has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 60-52 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.74% ROI).

  • 56-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.19% ROI
  • 59-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 6.43% ROI
  • 46-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -15.44% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 43-69 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -14.95% ROI).

  • 54-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -12.89% ROI
  • 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -8.38% ROI

Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kody Clemens +380
Cal Raleigh +390
Ryan Jeffers +400
Julio Rodriguez +400
Dominic Canzone +400

Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Cole Young 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mariners (seventh runs allowed).

The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Mariners (seventh runs allowed).

The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mariners are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 16-31 (.340) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (eighth in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have been successful in just 62% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .672 (1,248 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .225 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .479 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (474.1 IP) on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.47 runs per game (301/55) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.