- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Mariners TV Channel: TWTV | MRTV
The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on August 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Twins are 56-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-69 ATS.
Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 9-4, 3.66 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 8-9, 3.99 ERA
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 7 +105 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -125 | -140 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+13.60 Units / 194% ROI)
- Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luke Keaschall has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cole Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+17.30 Units / 247% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 60-52 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.74% ROI).
- 56-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.19% ROI
- 59-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 46-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -15.44% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 43-69 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -14.95% ROI).
- 54-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -8.38% ROI
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kody Clemens | +380 |
| Cal Raleigh | +390 |
| Ryan Jeffers | +400 |
| Julio Rodriguez | +400 |
| Dominic Canzone | +400 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cole Young | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mariners (seventh runs allowed).
The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Mariners (seventh runs allowed).
The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are just 16-31 (.340) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (eighth in runs scored).
The Mariners are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters have been successful in just 62% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .672 (1,248 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Twins are batting just .225 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .479 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (474.1 IP) on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.
The Twins have allowed 5.47 runs per game (301/55) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Twins vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.






