- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 48-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 44-49 ATS.
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 7 +105 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -125 | -130 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+7.95 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.70 Units / 77% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 47 away games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+4.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 46-49 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -9.28% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -9.51% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.1% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 44-49 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -7.44% ROI).
- 47-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -9.66% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -3.63% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -5.17% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (440/558) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (756/977) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has elevated his fastball 79% of the time (440/558) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of just .300 (48 Total Bases / 160 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .424 — 93rd Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .120 (50 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .083 (4-for-48) against Bryan Woo over the last 30 days (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of just .203 (50 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of just .486 (88 PA’s) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .700 — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 21-5 (.808) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are 62-9 (.873) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Mariners are just 4-20 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Mariners are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .226 (1,981 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have been successful in 110% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Twins are batting just .221 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins hitters have 726 strikeouts in 2,671 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .109 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Mariners are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Mariners are batting just .225 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 2.88 (271.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 236 of 3,433 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 16 of 346 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 153 of 2,292 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
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