• The Mariners are -190 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Twins / Mariners TV Channel: TWTV | MRTV | KING

The Minnesota Twins (+155) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-190) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Twins are against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are ATS.

Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 4-8, 5.28 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 4-5, 2.74 ERA

Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.25 Units / 51% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.85 Units / 58% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+2.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mariners (fifth runs allowed).

The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Twins are just 16-21 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Mariners (fifth runs allowed).

The Twins are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mariners are just 1-47 (.021) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Mariners are just 16-31 (.340) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (ninth in runs scored).

The Mariners are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .284 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have been successful in just 62% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .476 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .220 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Twins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (456.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.55 runs per game (294/53) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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